1. Sir Ian McKellan, Hale's Inferno- A legendary actor gets his well overdue Oscar, and it is much deserved in his most compelling yet. He may not have the most buzz, but he has the acclaim, and the Academy will reward Hale's Inferno with a win here.
2. Tom Sturridge, The Violinist- He may have just as many "precursor" wins as McKellan (each with 2 a piece), but look for The Violinist to be rewarded in other categorise this month. Although, Sturridge did gain the SAG's support, I don't think it will warrant a win for him.
3. Hugh O'Connor, After the Fall- Much like his costar Sophie, they will both fall fate to no Gold come Oscar night. Their costars are just too strong in the film, and the film won't sweep the awards either. I just don't think he'll win, although he has the most precursor nominations out of the bunch.
4. Christian Clemenson, The Monster of Florence- With not as much buzz, and a bit of a controversy regarding if the character even should have been cast, this makes him a risky bet. Yet, if he isn't nominated, Monster has no one in the acting races, which is rare for such high Best Picture contenders.
5. Joe Odagiri, Sacred- Odagiri has managed to make two key short lists this month (SAG/The Bait Spot), but failed to win either, or reach the Top 3 with the NBR. While this does hurt his chances, a strong role helps him to a nomination.
Also in the Running:
6. Joel Grey, Neighbors- Except this to happen if Neighbors picks up a Best Picture nomination and Christie wasn't the only standout performer...
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