Predicting Best Picture

Ok this will go down as one of the hardest months to predict Best Picture because there isn't really buzz going to any bait. So here is the rundown on some of the baits...

The 27th Victim- It has scored nominations at the festival and the Globes, but I don't think this has a chance at winning Best Picture, although it could easily snag a nomination. Chances (at a nomination) 25:1

Bloodshed- A very strong bait, but I don't see this being the bait that will get Daniel crowned again. Chances: 100:1

Captain Fantastic-Wasn't as strong as everyone hoped, but it is Pat and he can easily score a nomination though I don't think it will happen this month. 150:1

The End of the Alphabet- Once upon a time this had buzz, but then it scored hardly any Golden Globe nominations, 1 SAG nomination, Ithink the doors are closing on it's chances for a Best Picture nomination, still it has a better chance than most. 30:1

Glitz- While it was adored by many, I doubt this will score a Best Picture nomination because most of the voters didn't like it. Chances: 125:1

Gray Daze: It did score an Ensemble nomination at the SAG's, but no Best Picture at the Globes and I doubt that will lead to a nomination, but we have seen it happen with Bootleg. Chances 85:1

The Informer: This will definately get a nomination. I don't think it will win, but I think it is the one thing you can be sure will make the cut. It has the Globe nomination and the SAG, I'm sure it will get it. 1:25

Lucky Clover- I'm betting it will make the cut, but watch out for a major upset. 10:1

Mom is 80- It could easily make the cut, especially if it wins Best Picture at the Globes. 20:1

Oil- I'm thinking this will make the cut too. But same as Bloodshed, I don't think this is the bait that will give James another win. 15:1

Standardized Test- Opened to mixed reviews and no nomination at the Globes, but this could be the Candidacy of June. 80:1

Feel free to discuss your predictions...