NOTE: With Spring Break being this week, at least for me, there will be a lot of updates on the blog during the next few days so always stay tuned.
This months Oscars may possibly be some of the most competitive yet because of the number of strong baits duking it out to be in this months top 5. Although, I'm going to say right up front, this will be the most unpredictable Oscars yet.
Why? Because with everyone being away on Spring Break (or so I guess) there has been the possible littlest turnout EVER for the nomination ballots at the Golden Globes, National Board of Review, and the Screen Actors Guild awards. Particularly the Golden Globes, where only 3 ballots have been turned in. I for one, believe that the GG's are the best precursor to predict Oscar wins, but rest assured that this month there will be a vast difference.
This is because the nominations will likely be all over the place seeing as there are only 3 ballots which will be extremely different. Also, at least for me, this month it was more about picking the baits that were the lesser of 2 evils. This month was really weak IMO and will probably go down in history as one of the weakest as well. Many baits are just okay which in a weak month leads them to "outstanding" reviews.
Just look at all the big 8's that have been posted on the fourm, there is almost no bait that is on every list. It's because of this that many baits, will likely be forgotten in the Best Picture race this month. The Musical/Comedy category is probably the weakest since September of '07 (no offense to any winners) with no really strong baits coming out in that genre, making me regret not sending another musical or comedy in this month.
Back to the Spring Break issue, there are so many people not active on the forums/blogs, that no one is really predicting anything this month. Chris' normal Big 8/Technical Awards hasn't been announced this month, and Pat's blog has been dead since January (anybody know where he is?). Douglas' blog is blooming however, but I hesitate trusting it too much seeing as he hasn't won BOTM yet (I still love the blog Douglas, keep the great stuff going. I check it daily!).
I don't know if this is just because of Spring Break or what, but I hope this isn't the downfall of the contest or anything. So everybody, come out and make nomination ballots for the precursors because I think it's starting to become a thing we take for granted.
Make sure and leave comments and check back for further predictions and posts!
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